CoastErosionCheck

Bolivar Peninsula, TX Coastal Erosion Rate

Shoreline change 1.9 miles west of Bolivar Peninsula, TX

No significant trend

Nothing alarming measured 1.9 miles west of Bolivar Peninsula, TX: whatever shift USGS's transects picked up here is too small to call reliably one way or the other, which this site reports as "no significant trend" rather than forcing a direction.

The grain of this number

Bolivar Peninsula, TX is the nearest named place, 1.9 miles away, to a ~3.5-mile stretch of coast USGS has surveyed - the reading below covers that whole stretch, not a single property in it. Segment center: 29.49, -94.60. The survey behind it runs to 2001, in USGS's Gulf of Mexico assessment, using the LRR method. Shoreline surveys aren't repeated every year, so this is the most recent long-term measurement USGS has published for this coast, not a live reading.

What backs this reading up

Averaging 106 separate transects produced this segment's rate, with 97% individually reading as erosion, rather than relying on any single survey line. The published margin on this reading runs ±0.19 ft/yr. The unadjusted figure here, -0.11 ft/yr, would place it 629 of 1211 if ranked directly - but an unreliable rank isn't a useful one, which is exactly why "no significant trend" is the headline instead. Source: USGS Open-File Report 2004-1089. Long Beach, CA sits at national rank 1135 for growth (1.31 ft/yr), one reference point among the 1211 scored segments, 1415 miles from here. 2 miles up the coast, Bolivar Peninsula, TX shows the same lack of a significant trend.

Bolivar Peninsula, TX on the source map: try the Coastal Change Hazards Portal, zoomable well past this page's ~3.5-mile grain.