Carpinteria, CA Coastal Erosion Rate
Is the coast eroding right at Carpinteria, CA?
right at Carpinteria, CA: USGS's transects didn't pick up a trend here that beats the survey's own uncertainty. That's the majority case nationally, and for this stretch specifically it means the coast is holding, not that the data failed to find anything.
What this reading actually covers
This is a roughly 3.5-mile stretch of coast, not one address or parcel - USGS's own transects run every few hundred feet, but that's finer than any one property needs, so this page reports the stretch nearest Carpinteria, CA. Centered near 34.39°N, 119.50°W. USGS's California assessment last surveyed this stretch through 1852-2016, computing the rate with its LRR method. Other US regions were surveyed in different years, sometimes decades apart, so this page states its own rather than implying one national vintage.
What backs this reading up
77 transects feed this segment's number; 75% of them individually measured retreat. The published margin on this reading runs ±0.14 ft/yr. Taken at face value, this segment's raw -0.12 ft/yr reading would land it 623 of 1211 nationally - a number worth ignoring, since it's statistical noise rather than a real trend. Source: USGS National Shoreline Change data release (ScienceBase, DOI 10.5066/P94J0K7Z), Kratzmann 2024 / Data Report 1187. For scale: El Segundo, CA, 69 miles away, ranks 1114 of 1211 nationally for growth, 1.04 ft/yr. Carpinteria, CA, 1.6 miles off, is the adjacent measured stretch, itself no significant trend.
Carpinteria, CA on the source map: try the Coastal Change Hazards Portal, zoomable well past this page's ~3.5-mile grain.