CoastErosionCheck

Eastville, VA Coastal Erosion Rate

What USGS measures 10.8 miles east of Eastville, VA

No significant trend

The coast 10.8 miles east of Eastville, VA shows no statistically significant trend either way. USGS's transects measured a rate here, but it's smaller than the survey's own margin of error for this stretch, so calling it "eroding" or "growing" would overstate what the data actually shows.

What this reading actually covers

Nothing here is parcel-level. USGS's raw transects run every few hundred feet along the shore; this page averages the ones nearest Eastville, VA into one ~3.5-mile reading rather than picking a single arbitrary line to represent the area. Centered near 37.34°N, 75.74°W. The survey behind it runs to 2007-2009, in USGS's New England / Mid-Atlantic assessment, using the LRR method. Shoreline surveys aren't repeated every year, so this is the most recent long-term measurement USGS has published for this coast, not a live reading.

What backs this reading up

97 transects feed this segment's number; 51% of them individually measured retreat. The published margin on this reading runs ±2.81 ft/yr. Taken at face value, this segment's raw -0.04 ft/yr reading would land it 722 of 1211 nationally - a number worth ignoring, since it's statistical noise rather than a real trend. Source: USGS Open-File Report 2010-1119. Santa Monica, CA sits at national rank 932 for growth (0.21 ft/yr), one reference point among the 1211 scored segments, 2393 miles from here. Eastville, VA, 2.2 miles off, is the adjacent measured stretch, reading severe erosion at 4.34 ft/yr.

Eastville, VA on the source map: try the Coastal Change Hazards Portal, zoomable well past this page's ~3.5-mile grain.