Eastville, VA Coastal Erosion Rate
Shoreline change 9 miles southeast of Eastville, VA
The coast 9 miles southeast of Eastville, VA has been retreating at a measured 3.64 feet a year, USGS's own long-term rate for this stretch, built from historical shoreline positions rather than a single survey. At that rate, the shoreline has lost roughly 36.4 feet over the last decade.
What "Eastville" means on this page
This is a roughly 3.5-mile stretch of coast, not one address or parcel - USGS's own transects run every few hundred feet, but that's finer than any one property needs, so this page reports the stretch nearest Eastville, VA. Centered near 37.29°N, 75.80°W. USGS's New England / Mid-Atlantic assessment last surveyed this stretch through 2007-2009, computing the rate with its LRR method. Other US regions were surveyed in different years, sometimes decades apart, so this page states its own rather than implying one national vintage.
25 years at this rate
If 3.64 ft/yr holds for the next 25 years, the coast 9 miles southeast of Eastville, VA would retreat roughly 91 more feet, a projection, not a certainty: erosion rates shift with storms, sediment supply and any armoring built in the meantime.
What backs this reading up
Averaging 33 separate transects produced this segment's rate, with 100% individually reading as erosion, rather than relying on any single survey line. USGS's confidence interval here is ±3.14 ft/yr. Among the 1211 US coastal segments with a measurable trend, this one ranks 77 for erosion, 1 being the fastest-retreating coast in the dataset. Source: USGS Open-File Report 2010-1119. Rank 236 nationally for erosion belongs to Corpus Christi, TX, 1401 miles from this stretch, measured at 0.74 ft/yr, 0.2x this stretch's rate. 2.4 miles away, Cheriton, VA is the nearest other measured stretch: severe erosion at 7.9 ft/yr.
Eastville, VA on the source map: try the Coastal Change Hazards Portal, zoomable well past this page's ~3.5-mile grain.