CoastErosionCheck

Fulton, TX Coastal Erosion Rate

What USGS measures 7.8 miles southeast of Fulton, TX

No significant trend

The coast 7.8 miles southeast of Fulton, TX shows no statistically significant trend either way. USGS's transects measured a rate here, but it's smaller than the survey's own margin of error for this stretch, so calling it "eroding" or "growing" would overstate what the data actually shows.

What "Fulton" means on this page

Nothing here is parcel-level. USGS's raw transects run every few hundred feet along the shore; this page averages the ones nearest Fulton, TX into one ~3.5-mile reading rather than picking a single arbitrary line to represent the area. Centered near 28.02°N, 96.92°W. The survey behind it runs to 2001, in USGS's Gulf of Mexico assessment, using the LRR method. Shoreline surveys aren't repeated every year, so this is the most recent long-term measurement USGS has published for this coast, not a live reading.

How solid is this number

Averaging 7 separate transects produced this segment's rate, with 0% individually reading as erosion, rather than relying on any single survey line. The published margin on this reading runs ±1.49 ft/yr. Taken at face value, this segment's raw 0.35 ft/yr reading would land it 981 of 1211 nationally - a number worth ignoring, since it's statistical noise rather than a real trend. Source: USGS Open-File Report 2004-1089. Quinby, VA sits at national rank 1184 for growth (3.29 ft/yr), one reference point among the 1211 scored segments, 1391 miles from here. Lamar, TX, 2.2 miles off, is the adjacent measured stretch, itself no significant trend.

Fulton, TX on the source map: try the Coastal Change Hazards Portal, zoomable well past this page's ~3.5-mile grain.