Lincoln Beach, OR Coastal Erosion Rate
What USGS measures 3.1 miles north of Lincoln Beach, OR
The coast 3.1 miles north of Lincoln Beach, OR shows no statistically significant trend either way. USGS's transects measured a rate here, but it's smaller than the survey's own margin of error for this stretch, so calling it "eroding" or "growing" would overstate what the data actually shows.
The grain of this number
Nothing here is parcel-level. USGS's raw transects run every few hundred feet along the shore; this page averages the ones nearest Lincoln Beach, OR into one ~3.5-mile reading rather than picking a single arbitrary line to represent the area. Centered near 44.92°N, 124.02°W. The survey behind it runs to 2002-2011, in USGS's Pacific Northwest assessment, using the LRR method. Shoreline surveys aren't repeated every year, so this is the most recent long-term measurement USGS has published for this coast, not a live reading.
How solid is this number
Averaging 28 separate transects produced this segment's rate, with 7% individually reading as erosion, rather than relying on any single survey line. The published margin on this reading runs ±1.05 ft/yr. Taken at face value, this segment's raw 0.79 ft/yr reading would land it 1075 of 1211 nationally - a number worth ignoring, since it's statistical noise rather than a real trend. Source: USGS Open-File Report 2012-1008. Rank 1057 nationally for growth belongs to West Sayville, NY, 2558 miles from this stretch, measured at 0.66 ft/yr. 1.8 miles up the coast, Lincoln Beach, OR shows the same lack of a significant trend.
Lincoln Beach, OR on the source map: try the Coastal Change Hazards Portal, zoomable well past this page's ~3.5-mile grain.