Long Branch, NJ Coastal Erosion Rate
Shoreline change 0.4 miles northwest of Long Branch, NJ
Nothing alarming measured 0.4 miles northwest of Long Branch, NJ: whatever shift USGS's transects picked up here is too small to call reliably one way or the other, which this site reports as "no significant trend" rather than forcing a direction.
What this reading actually covers
Long Branch, NJ is the nearest named place, 0.4 miles away, to a ~3.5-mile stretch of coast USGS has surveyed - the reading below covers that whole stretch, not a single property in it. Segment center: 40.30, -73.99. USGS's New England / Mid-Atlantic assessment last surveyed this stretch through 2007-2009, computing the rate with its LRR method. Other US regions were surveyed in different years, sometimes decades apart, so this page states its own rather than implying one national vintage.
What backs this reading up
This reading comes from 115 individual transects averaged together, 97% of which measured erosion rather than growth. USGS's confidence interval here is ±0.81 ft/yr. The unadjusted figure here, -0.37 ft/yr, would place it 365 of 1211 if ranked directly - but an unreliable rank isn't a useful one, which is exactly why "no significant trend" is the headline instead. Source: USGS Open-File Report 2010-1119. Rank 1200 nationally for growth belongs to Tokeland, WA, 2505 miles from this stretch, measured at 5.19 ft/yr. Sea Bright, NJ, 3.5 miles off, is the adjacent measured stretch, itself no significant trend.
One address near Long Branch: the Coastal Change Hazards Portal zooms past this stretch to the underlying map.