CoastErosionCheck

Neskowin, OR Coastal Erosion Rate

Shoreline change 0.8 miles south of Neskowin, OR

No significant trend

The coast 0.8 miles south of Neskowin, OR shows no statistically significant trend either way. USGS's transects measured a rate here, but it's smaller than the survey's own margin of error for this stretch, so calling it "eroding" or "growing" would overstate what the data actually shows.

What this reading actually covers

Nothing here is parcel-level. USGS's raw transects run every few hundred feet along the shore; this page averages the ones nearest Neskowin, OR into one ~3.5-mile reading rather than picking a single arbitrary line to represent the area. Centered near 45.11°N, 123.98°W. Survey years: 2002-2011, method LRR, from USGS's Pacific Northwest shoreline-change assessment. That's how current the data is here, real, but not a live feed, since a shoreline survey is a major undertaking, not an annual check-in.

Where this fits nationally

This reading comes from 67 individual transects averaged together, 99% of which measured erosion rather than growth. Uncertainty on this specific number: 1.55 ft/yr either side. Taken at face value, this segment's raw -0.46 ft/yr reading would land it 315 of 1211 nationally - a number worth ignoring, since it's statistical noise rather than a real trend. Source: USGS Open-File Report 2012-1008. Orick, CA sits at national rank 1130 for growth (1.26 ft/yr), one reference point among the 1211 scored segments, 259 miles from here. Neskowin, OR, 1.3 miles off, is the adjacent measured stretch, itself no significant trend.

One address near Neskowin: the Coastal Change Hazards Portal zooms past this stretch to the underlying map.