Neskowin, OR Coastal Erosion Rate
Is the coast eroding 2.2 miles north of Neskowin, OR?
Good news, and an honest one: USGS's data can't distinguish this stretch, 2.2 miles north of Neskowin, OR, from a flat trend. Whatever small movement it measured here is statistical noise, not a reliable direction, so none is claimed.
What this reading actually covers
USGS surveys the coast in transects spaced a few hundred feet apart; this page groups the nearest ones into a single ~3.5-mile reading for the stretch closest to Neskowin, OR, rather than showing one arbitrary line. Segment center: 45.15, -123.97. The survey behind it runs to 2002-2011, in USGS's Pacific Northwest assessment, using the LRR method. Shoreline surveys aren't repeated every year, so this is the most recent long-term measurement USGS has published for this coast, not a live reading.
What backs this reading up
This reading comes from 87 individual transects averaged together, 92% of which measured erosion rather than growth. Uncertainty on this specific number: 0.76 ft/yr either side. The unadjusted figure here, -0.39 ft/yr, would place it 358 of 1211 if ranked directly - but an unreliable rank isn't a useful one, which is exactly why "no significant trend" is the headline instead. Source: USGS Open-File Report 2012-1008. For scale: Blue Point, NY, 2554 miles away, ranks 1037 of 1211 nationally for growth, 0.57 ft/yr. 1.7 miles up the coast, Neskowin, OR shows the same lack of a significant trend.
Not this whole stretch, just Neskowin itself: the Coastal Change Hazards Portal is USGS's own live version of this data.