CoastErosionCheck

Panama City Beach, FL Coastal Erosion Rate

Shoreline change 1.2 miles east of Panama City Beach, FL

No significant trend

The coast 1.2 miles east of Panama City Beach, FL shows no statistically significant trend either way. USGS's transects measured a rate here, but it's smaller than the survey's own margin of error for this stretch, so calling it "eroding" or "growing" would overstate what the data actually shows.

What this reading actually covers

Nothing here is parcel-level. USGS's raw transects run every few hundred feet along the shore; this page averages the ones nearest Panama City Beach, FL into one ~3.5-mile reading rather than picking a single arbitrary line to represent the area. Centered near 30.23°N, 85.86°W. Survey years: 2001, method LRR, from USGS's Gulf of Mexico shoreline-change assessment. That's how current the data is here, real, but not a live feed, since a shoreline survey is a major undertaking, not an annual check-in.

What backs this reading up

This reading comes from 80 individual transects averaged together, 0% of which measured erosion rather than growth. USGS's confidence interval here is ±0.49 ft/yr. Taken at face value, this segment's raw 0.32 ft/yr reading would land it 968 of 1211 nationally - a number worth ignoring, since it's statistical noise rather than a real trend. Source: USGS Open-File Report 2004-1089. Rank 1098 nationally for growth belongs to Newport Beach, CA, 1886 miles from this stretch, measured at 0.94 ft/yr. Panama City Beach, FL, 1.8 miles off, is the adjacent measured stretch, itself no significant trend.

Not this whole stretch, just Panama City Beach itself: the Coastal Change Hazards Portal is USGS's own live version of this data.