CoastErosionCheck

Pescadero, CA Coastal Erosion Rate

Shoreline change 4.1 miles north of Pescadero, CA

No significant trend

The coast 4.1 miles north of Pescadero, CA shows no statistically significant trend either way. USGS's transects measured a rate here, but it's smaller than the survey's own margin of error for this stretch, so calling it "eroding" or "growing" would overstate what the data actually shows.

What "Pescadero" means on this page

Nothing here is parcel-level. USGS's raw transects run every few hundred feet along the shore; this page averages the ones nearest Pescadero, CA into one ~3.5-mile reading rather than picking a single arbitrary line to represent the area. Centered near 37.30°N, 122.41°W. Survey years: 1852-2016, method LRR, from USGS's California shoreline-change assessment. That's how current the data is here, real, but not a live feed, since a shoreline survey is a major undertaking, not an annual check-in.

Where this fits nationally

Averaging 104 separate transects produced this segment's rate, with 63% individually reading as erosion, rather than relying on any single survey line. Uncertainty on this specific number: 0.22 ft/yr either side. Taken at face value, this segment's raw -0.05 ft/yr reading would land it 715 of 1211 nationally - a number worth ignoring, since it's statistical noise rather than a real trend. Source: USGS National Shoreline Change data release (ScienceBase, DOI 10.5066/P94J0K7Z), Kratzmann 2024 / Data Report 1187. Rank 1202 nationally for growth belongs to Long Beach, WA, 634 miles from this stretch, measured at 5.37 ft/yr. Pescadero, CA, 2.4 miles off, is the adjacent measured stretch, itself no significant trend.

One address near Pescadero: the Coastal Change Hazards Portal zooms past this stretch to the underlying map.