CoastErosionCheck

Sarita, TX Coastal Erosion Rate

Shoreline change 28.9 miles southeast of Sarita, TX

No significant trend

28.9 miles southeast of Sarita, TX: USGS's transects didn't pick up a trend here that beats the survey's own uncertainty. That's the majority case nationally, and for this stretch specifically it means the coast is holding, not that the data failed to find anything.

What "Sarita" means on this page

This is a roughly 3.5-mile stretch of coast, not one address or parcel - USGS's own transects run every few hundred feet, but that's finer than any one property needs, so this page reports the stretch nearest Sarita, TX. Centered near 27.00°N, 97.40°W. Survey years: 2001, method LRR, from USGS's Gulf of Mexico shoreline-change assessment. That's how current the data is here, real, but not a live feed, since a shoreline survey is a major undertaking, not an annual check-in.

What backs this reading up

Averaging 108 separate transects produced this segment's rate, with 0% individually reading as erosion, rather than relying on any single survey line. USGS's confidence interval here is ±1.35 ft/yr. Taken at face value, this segment's raw 0.17 ft/yr reading would land it 902 of 1211 nationally - a number worth ignoring, since it's statistical noise rather than a real trend. Source: USGS Open-File Report 2004-1089. For scale: Sanibel, FL, 947 miles away, ranks 1104 of 1211 nationally for growth, 0.99 ft/yr. Port Mansfield, TX, 3.5 miles off, is the adjacent measured stretch, itself no significant trend.

Not this whole stretch, just Sarita itself: the Coastal Change Hazards Portal is USGS's own live version of this data.