Saunders Lake, OR Coastal Erosion Rate
What USGS measures 1.9 miles northwest of Saunders Lake, OR
The coast 1.9 miles northwest of Saunders Lake, OR shows no statistically significant trend either way. USGS's transects measured a rate here, but it's smaller than the survey's own margin of error for this stretch, so calling it "eroding" or "growing" would overstate what the data actually shows.
What "Saunders Lake" means on this page
Nothing here is parcel-level. USGS's raw transects run every few hundred feet along the shore; this page averages the ones nearest Saunders Lake, OR into one ~3.5-mile reading rather than picking a single arbitrary line to represent the area. Centered near 43.54°N, 124.23°W. USGS's Pacific Northwest assessment last surveyed this stretch through 2002-2011, computing the rate with its LRR method. Other US regions were surveyed in different years, sometimes decades apart, so this page states its own rather than implying one national vintage.
What backs this reading up
Averaging 85 separate transects produced this segment's rate, with 52% individually reading as erosion, rather than relying on any single survey line. USGS's confidence interval here is ±1.01 ft/yr. Taken at face value, this segment's raw -0.01 ft/yr reading would land it 760 of 1211 nationally - a number worth ignoring, since it's statistical noise rather than a real trend. Source: USGS Open-File Report 2012-1008. Rank 1151 nationally for growth belongs to Westhaven-Moonstone, CA, 176 miles from this stretch, measured at 1.85 ft/yr. 1.8 miles away, Lakeside, OR is the nearest other measured stretch: also no significant trend.
Not this whole stretch, just Saunders Lake itself: the Coastal Change Hazards Portal is USGS's own live version of this data.