Carmel Valley Village, CA Coastal Erosion Rate
What USGS measures 18.8 miles south of Carmel Valley Village, CA
Good news, and an honest one: USGS's data can't distinguish this stretch, 18.8 miles south of Carmel Valley Village, CA, from a flat trend. Whatever small movement it measured here is statistical noise, not a reliable direction, so none is claimed.
What "Carmel Valley Village" means on this page
USGS surveys the coast in transects spaced a few hundred feet apart; this page groups the nearest ones into a single ~3.5-mile reading for the stretch closest to Carmel Valley Village, CA, rather than showing one arbitrary line. Segment center: 36.23, -121.80. Survey years: 1852-2016, method LRR, from USGS's California shoreline-change assessment. That's how current the data is here, real, but not a live feed, since a shoreline survey is a major undertaking, not an annual check-in.
Where this fits nationally
Averaging 54 separate transects produced this segment's rate, with 85% individually reading as erosion, rather than relying on any single survey line. Uncertainty on this specific number: 0.39 ft/yr either side. The unadjusted figure here, -0.21 ft/yr, would place it 495 of 1211 if ranked directly - but an unreliable rank isn't a useful one, which is exactly why "no significant trend" is the headline instead. Source: USGS National Shoreline Change data release (ScienceBase, DOI 10.5066/P94J0K7Z), Kratzmann 2024 / Data Report 1187. Seaside, OR sits at national rank 1155 for growth (1.99 ft/yr), one reference point among the 1211 scored segments, 684 miles from here. Carmel Valley Village, CA, 2.7 miles off, is the adjacent measured stretch, itself no significant trend.
Carmel Valley Village, CA on the source map: try the Coastal Change Hazards Portal, zoomable well past this page's ~3.5-mile grain.