Carmel Valley Village, CA Coastal Erosion Rate
What USGS measures 19.8 miles south of Carmel Valley Village, CA
Nothing alarming measured 19.8 miles south of Carmel Valley Village, CA: whatever shift USGS's transects picked up here is too small to call reliably one way or the other, which this site reports as "no significant trend" rather than forcing a direction.
The grain of this number
Carmel Valley Village, CA is the nearest named place, 19.8 miles away, to a ~3.5-mile stretch of coast USGS has surveyed - the reading below covers that whole stretch, not a single property in it. Segment center: 36.21, -121.76. USGS's California assessment last surveyed this stretch through 1852-2016, computing the rate with its LRR method. Other US regions were surveyed in different years, sometimes decades apart, so this page states its own rather than implying one national vintage.
How solid is this number
Averaging 40 separate transects produced this segment's rate, with 84% individually reading as erosion, rather than relying on any single survey line. USGS's confidence interval here is ±0.3 ft/yr. The unadjusted figure here, -0.14 ft/yr, would place it 589 of 1211 if ranked directly - but an unreliable rank isn't a useful one, which is exactly why "no significant trend" is the headline instead. Source: USGS National Shoreline Change data release (ScienceBase, DOI 10.5066/P94J0K7Z), Kratzmann 2024 / Data Report 1187. For scale: Atlantic City, NJ, 2563 miles away, ranks 1137 of 1211 nationally for growth, 1.38 ft/yr. Carmel Valley Village, CA, 2.7 miles off, is the adjacent measured stretch, itself no significant trend.
Carmel Valley Village, CA on the source map: try the Coastal Change Hazards Portal, zoomable well past this page's ~3.5-mile grain.