Gulf Park Estates, MS Coastal Erosion Rate
Shoreline change 11.1 miles southwest of Gulf Park Estates, MS
Averaged across every transect USGS ran 11.1 miles southwest of Gulf Park Estates, MS, the shoreline has been moving inland at 6.04 feet a year, a real measured rate, not a regional estimate applied to this stretch. At that rate, the shoreline has lost roughly 60.4 feet over the last decade.
What "Gulf Park Estates" means on this page
Gulf Park Estates, MS is the nearest named place, 11.1 miles away, to a ~3.5-mile stretch of coast USGS has surveyed - the reading below covers that whole stretch, not a single property in it. Segment center: 30.25, -88.87. USGS's Gulf of Mexico assessment last surveyed this stretch through 2001, computing the rate with its LRR method. Other US regions were surveyed in different years, sometimes decades apart, so this page states its own rather than implying one national vintage.
What 6.04 ft/yr means over time
Run 11.1 miles southwest of Gulf Park Estates, MS's 6.04 ft/yr rate forward 25 years and it implies about 151 feet of further retreat, assuming nothing changes, which is exactly the assumption a seawall or nourishment project exists to break.
Where this fits nationally
Averaging 8 separate transects produced this segment's rate, with 100% individually reading as erosion, rather than relying on any single survey line. The published margin on this reading runs ±1.63 ft/yr. Among the 1211 US coastal segments with a measurable trend, this one ranks 42 for erosion, 1 being the fastest-retreating coast in the dataset. Source: USGS Open-File Report 2004-1089. Big Lagoon, CA sits at national rank 246 for erosion (0.68 ft/yr), one reference point among the 1211 scored segments, 2099 miles from here. Gulf Park Estates, MS, 1.8 miles off, is the adjacent measured stretch, reading severe erosion at 5.71 ft/yr.
Not this whole stretch, just Gulf Park Estates itself: the Coastal Change Hazards Portal is USGS's own live version of this data.