Gulf Park Estates, MS Coastal Erosion Rate
Is the coast eroding 12.8 miles southwest of Gulf Park Estates, MS?
Averaged across every transect USGS ran 12.8 miles southwest of Gulf Park Estates, MS, the shoreline has been moving inland at 5.71 feet a year, a real measured rate, not a regional estimate applied to this stretch. At that rate, the shoreline has lost roughly 57.1 feet over the last decade.
What "Gulf Park Estates" means on this page
Gulf Park Estates, MS is the nearest named place, 12.8 miles away, to a ~3.5-mile stretch of coast USGS has surveyed - the reading below covers that whole stretch, not a single property in it. Segment center: 30.24, -88.90. Survey years: 2001, method LRR, from USGS's Gulf of Mexico shoreline-change assessment. That's how current the data is here, real, but not a live feed, since a shoreline survey is a major undertaking, not an annual check-in.
What 5.71 ft/yr means over time
Run 12.8 miles southwest of Gulf Park Estates, MS's 5.71 ft/yr rate forward 25 years and it implies about 143 feet of further retreat, assuming nothing changes, which is exactly the assumption a seawall or nourishment project exists to break.
Where this fits nationally
110 transects feed this segment's number; 100% of them individually measured retreat. USGS's confidence interval here is ±0.84 ft/yr. This segment ranks 46 of 1211 measured US coastal segments, ordered from fastest erosion to fastest growth. Source: USGS Open-File Report 2004-1089. Madaket, MA sits at national rank 104 for erosion (2.69 ft/yr), one reference point among the 1211 scored segments, 1293 miles from here. 1.8 miles away, Gulf Park Estates, MS is the nearest other measured stretch: severe erosion at 6.04 ft/yr.
One address near Gulf Park Estates: the Coastal Change Hazards Portal zooms past this stretch to the underlying map.