CoastErosionCheck

Pacific City, OR Coastal Erosion Rate

Is the coast eroding 0.7 miles southwest of Pacific City, OR?

No significant trend

0.7 miles southwest of Pacific City, OR: USGS's transects didn't pick up a trend here that beats the survey's own uncertainty. That's the majority case nationally, and for this stretch specifically it means the coast is holding, not that the data failed to find anything.

What "Pacific City" means on this page

This is a roughly 3.5-mile stretch of coast, not one address or parcel - USGS's own transects run every few hundred feet, but that's finer than any one property needs, so this page reports the stretch nearest Pacific City, OR. Centered near 45.20°N, 123.97°W. Survey years: 2002-2011, method LRR, from USGS's Pacific Northwest shoreline-change assessment. That's how current the data is here, real, but not a live feed, since a shoreline survey is a major undertaking, not an annual check-in.

What backs this reading up

Averaging 97 separate transects produced this segment's rate, with 77% individually reading as erosion, rather than relying on any single survey line. Uncertainty on this specific number: 0.71 ft/yr either side. Taken at face value, this segment's raw -0.14 ft/yr reading would land it 578 of 1211 nationally - a number worth ignoring, since it's statistical noise rather than a real trend. Source: USGS Open-File Report 2012-1008. Cortez, FL sits at national rank 1109 for growth (1.02 ft/yr), one reference point among the 1211 scored segments, 2569 miles from here. 3.1 miles away, Neskowin, OR is the nearest other measured stretch: also no significant trend.

Pacific City, OR on the source map: try the Coastal Change Hazards Portal, zoomable well past this page's ~3.5-mile grain.