Tokeland, WA Coastal Erosion Rate
Is the coast eroding 2.7 miles west of Tokeland, WA?
The coast 2.7 miles west of Tokeland, WA has been retreating at a measured 27.92 feet a year, USGS's own long-term rate for this stretch, built from historical shoreline positions rather than a single survey. At that rate, the shoreline has lost roughly 279.2 feet over the last decade.
What "Tokeland" means on this page
This is a roughly 3.5-mile stretch of coast, not one address or parcel - USGS's own transects run every few hundred feet, but that's finer than any one property needs, so this page reports the stretch nearest Tokeland, WA. Centered near 46.72°N, 124.04°W. The survey behind it runs to 2002-2011, in USGS's Pacific Northwest assessment, using the LRR method. Shoreline surveys aren't repeated every year, so this is the most recent long-term measurement USGS has published for this coast, not a live reading.
25 years at this rate
If 27.92 ft/yr holds for the next 25 years, the coast 2.7 miles west of Tokeland, WA would retreat roughly 698 more feet, a projection, not a certainty: erosion rates shift with storms, sediment supply and any armoring built in the meantime.
How solid is this number
Averaging 12 separate transects produced this segment's rate, with 100% individually reading as erosion, rather than relying on any single survey line. Uncertainty on this specific number: 4.46 ft/yr either side. This segment ranks 2 of 1211 measured US coastal segments, ordered from fastest erosion to fastest growth. Source: USGS Open-File Report 2012-1008. For scale: Buellton, CA, 869 miles away, ranks 530 of 1211 nationally for erosion, 0.18 ft/yr, a small fraction of this stretch's own rate. 1.2 miles up the coast, Tokeland, WA shows 27.65 ft/yr of eroding.
One address near Tokeland: the Coastal Change Hazards Portal zooms past this stretch to the underlying map.